While The Warren Buffet Way focuses on the methods and examples of value investing, The Warren Buffet Portfolio focuses more so on the building of a portfolio, as well as the mindset of a value investor. The first few chapters of the book covers the reasons of chooseing value investing before other known methods, and the evolution of the academia's view on investing. These chapters would seem redundant to a person already practices value investing (or wants to practice value investing). However, it does make a nice summary to refer to. The latter part of the book are seemingly disoriented, but upon a close inspection, one can find englightment not normally found elsewhere. The author has gone out of his way to research disciplinary topics not covered by finance. For example, Hagstrom mentioned the topic of Complex Adaptive System as a way to explain the markets. Indeed, the market behaves as if it can never be consistently predicted, like an adaptive system. more reasons to adhere to fundamentals of individual companies instead of predicting the broad economics.
Thursday, September 23, 2010
The Warren Buffet Portfolio
While The Warren Buffet Way focuses on the methods and examples of value investing, The Warren Buffet Portfolio focuses more so on the building of a portfolio, as well as the mindset of a value investor. The first few chapters of the book covers the reasons of chooseing value investing before other known methods, and the evolution of the academia's view on investing. These chapters would seem redundant to a person already practices value investing (or wants to practice value investing). However, it does make a nice summary to refer to. The latter part of the book are seemingly disoriented, but upon a close inspection, one can find englightment not normally found elsewhere. The author has gone out of his way to research disciplinary topics not covered by finance. For example, Hagstrom mentioned the topic of Complex Adaptive System as a way to explain the markets. Indeed, the market behaves as if it can never be consistently predicted, like an adaptive system. more reasons to adhere to fundamentals of individual companies instead of predicting the broad economics.
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
Monday, September 06, 2010
The Perfect Hedge
最近在網路上有看到對於兩個東西的解釋
1) Gold漲是投資人對應通膨的預期
2) 10年 treasury bill yield跌到了2.7%, 大批買入是為了應付對通縮的預期. 一旦通縮, 2.7%反而會是很好的投資.
兩者矛盾.
最可能的原因, 恐怕是gold其實並不是大家所想像的通膨避險, 而是對任何的不確定性的避險, 不管是通膨還是通縮.
David Einhorn曾說當美國政策壞的時候, gold就會漲, 美國政策好的時候, gold就會跌. 當美國預計未來將會有盈餘的時候, 也就是gold跌的時候.
1) Gold漲是投資人對應通膨的預期
2) 10年 treasury bill yield跌到了2.7%, 大批買入是為了應付對通縮的預期. 一旦通縮, 2.7%反而會是很好的投資.
兩者矛盾.
最可能的原因, 恐怕是gold其實並不是大家所想像的通膨避險, 而是對任何的不確定性的避險, 不管是通膨還是通縮.
David Einhorn曾說當美國政策壞的時候, gold就會漲, 美國政策好的時候, gold就會跌. 當美國預計未來將會有盈餘的時候, 也就是gold跌的時候.
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